CHINA LOGISTICS SECTOR BLUE BOOK
China’s logistics sector grew over the past five years (2017-2022) at a CAGR of 6.6% in real terms by total value of social logistics goods, fuelled by strong industrial production and expansion of the consumer market. Social logistics goods refer to goods being transported to buyers from suppliers for the first time, including agricultural and industrial products, imported goods, recycled resources, and goods produced by organisations and residents. The logistics sector's growth exceeded the 5.2% rise in real GDP in the same period, despite Covid-related lockdowns in 2020-2022 that dampened demand, disrupted operations and delayed expansion. Fitch Ratings expects the sector’s growth to normalise in 2023 as China ended its “zeroCovid” policy in December 2022, and hover in the midsingle-digit percentages in the medium term as China’s slowing economic outlook will be partly offset by customers’ rising demand for fast and quality logistics services.
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